Good morning. Shown below are my predictions for tomorrow's semi-state games along with some
comments. For each site, I've placed a number, from 1 to 4, to the left of each team's name. This is
a ranking of each team's likelihood of winning that particular semi-state.
For last week's regionals, I correctly picked 25 of the 32 games that were played (78%)
And, as always, thanks to John Harrell's great website for supplying great historical information.
Enjoy the games.
CLASS 4A (ALL TIMES EASTERN)
at Elkhart
(1)
Fishers (26-1) over (2)
Crown Point (20-5) 10:00 am
(3)
Ft.Wayne Wayne (22-3) over (4)
Mishawaka (20-7) 11:45 am
Fishers the winner 7:30 pm
Comments: This will be Fishers initial semi-state in school history. Crown Point
has been in a semi only once--1998. The Wayne Generals, currently on a 14 game
winning streak, are appearing in only their 3rd semi. They lost at this level last
year to Kokomo. And Mishawaka is in only their 3rd semi-state. They last appeared
way back in 1955 ! Fishers and Crown Point have played much stronger schedules
than the other two squads here. Fishers was my pre-tourney #1 choice to win this
semi-state.
at New Castle
(2)
Ben Davis (21-5) over (3)
Center Grove (21-4) 10:00 am
(1)
Lawrence North (25-3) over (4)
Jeffersonville (19-7) 12:00 pm
Lawrence North the winner 8:00 pm
Comments: Defending 4A state champion Ben Davis has won 11 of their
last 12 games. Included in this streak is a 7 point win at Lawrence North. BD
has won 7 of the 10 semi-states that they've played in. Speaking of hot streaks,
Center Grove has won 15 games in a row. Included in their streak is a 16 point
win against Jeffersonville in early February. CG will be playing in just their 3rd
semi. They haven't won one. Jeff is also on a roll, winning 12 of their last 13.
They have not played in a semi since 2013 and have not won one since1995.
Lawrence North is in a mild slump, having lost three of their last eleven games.
They'll be playing in their 8th semi-state, having gone 5-2 in the previous seven.
All four of these squads have played strong schedules. LN was my pre-tourney
#1 choice to win this semi-state.
CLASS 3A
at Logansport
(1)
So.Bend St. Joseph (18-9) over (3)
Peru (16-10) 10:00 am
(2(
Delta (22-6) over (4)
Fairfield (20-6) 12:00 pm
South Bend St. Joseph the winner 8:00 pm
Comments: This will be St.Joe's sixth semi-state appearance. They
are 2-3 in their five previous appearances. Peru will be playing in their
fourth semi-state and first since 1998. They've never won one. Delta
has won their last nine games--their longest streak of the year. They lost
a semi match last year to ultimate 3A champ Northwood. Fairfield is
playing in a semi for only the second time in their history--the first time
being in 2007. Delta plays the toughest schedule of this group, Fairfield the
weakest. St.Joe was my #2 pre-tourney choice to win this semi-state.
at Seymour
(1)
Guerin Catholic (21-7) over (2)
Danville (22-3) 10:00 am
(3)
Scottsburg (22-5) over (4)
Evansville Bosse (15-10) 12:00 pm
Guerin the winner 8:00 pm
Comments: Guerin has won all three semi-states they have played
in previously, including last years. This will also be Danville's fourth
semi-state but they've not won one yet. This will be Scottsburg's 7th
semi appearance. They've not yet won a semi-state. Last year they
lost by 16 points to Guerin. Speaking of history, Bosse will be playing
in their 19th semi-state. They've won eight times previously. Bosse
and Guerin have played much stronger schedules than Danville and
Scottsburg. Guerin was my pre-tourney choice to win this semi-state.
CLASS 2A
at Lafayette Jeff
(2)
Wapahani (24-2) over (4)
North Judson (21-6) 10:30 am
(1)
Ft,Wayne Blackhawk (21-6) over (3)
Wabash (21-5) -12:30 pm
Ft.Wayne Blackhawk the winner 7:30 pm
Comments: This is Blackhawks 4th semi-state in the last six years.
They went ahead and won a class state title in the previous three years.
Wapahani has been a regional participant in four of the last five years.
Last year was the first time they advanced to the semi-state round. They
lost to Cass in a mild upset. North Judson will be playing in their first-ever semi-state.
Sort of hard to believe given that NJ has been a tourney participant for over a hundred
years. Wabash is semi-state bound for only the fifth time in school history--their first time
since 1956. They've never won one. Blackhawk plays a much tougher schedule than the
other three schools while North Judson plays the weakest. Blackhawk was my #2 pre-tourney
choice to win this semi-state.
at Southport
(1)
Brownstown Central (25-4) over (2)
Park Tudor (20-5) 10:00 am
(3)
Parke Heritage (23-5) over (4)
Forest Park (18-9) 12:00 pm
Brownstown the winner 8:00 pm
Comments: Park-Tudor defeated Parke Heritage by 19 points in early December. This will be
Brownstown's 2nd straight semi-state and 4th in school history. They were defeated by Linton
last year. Park-Tudor is playing in a semi for the first time since 2015. PT won five semi-states
in the period of 2010-2015. Parke Heritage will be playing in their third semi-state. They won
at this level in 2021. Forest Park has won four of their previous six semi-state appearances.
Brownstown has played by far the toughest schedule of this quartet--Parke Heritage the weakest.
Brownstown was my pre-tourney choice to win this semi-state.
CLASS 1A
at Michigan City
(2)
Liberty Christian (17-9) over (3)
Marquette Catholic (12-15) 11:00 am
(1)
Ft.Wayne Canterbury (16-9) over (4)
Elkhart Christian (17-9) 1:00 pm
F.W.Canterbury the winner 8:30 pm
Comments: This is Liberty's fifth semi-state. They won the 2016 semi on
their way to the Class 1A state title. Elkhart defeated Marquette 56-51 on Dec.18.
This is Marquette's sixth semi-state appearance. The won a semi in both 2014
and 2015. This is Canterbury's fourth semi-state. They have never won at this level.
This is Elkhart's first-ever semi-state. Canterbury and Liberty have played far
tougher schedules than the other two schools here. Canterbury was my pre-tourney
choice to win this semi-state.
at Washington
(3)
Bethesda Christian (24-2) over (4)
Greenwood Christian (18-7) 10:00 am
(1)
Evansville Christian (24-2) over (2)Barr-Reeve (24-2) 11:45 am
Evansville Christian the winner 7:30 pm
Comments: Bethesda won at Greenwood Christian 40-26 on Feb.6th. This is the first
semi-state appearance for Bethesda, Greenwood, and Evansville. This is Bar-Reeve's
10th semi-state appearance. They have won 7 seven semi-states in their previous history.
Evansville and Bethesda have played far tougher schedules than the other two schools.
Evansville was my pre-tourney choice to win this semi-state.